Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox (27-37) 0 @ Tampa Bay Rays (38-25) 0

Tue Jun 09, 5:40 PM CDT Data: Med 🟢 Verified Odds · FanDuel · 3 hours, 18 minutes ago

Line moved

⚠️ Model Lean Not Recommended Low Probability House Model

🎯 Model Lean: Boston Red Sox Moneyline (-116)

Confidence: 53% · Edge vs market: 1.5%

⏰ GAME START

5:40 PM CDT

Starts in 1h 16m

What the Model Likes

Why Brother Willie Passed on This Play

Brother Willie Verdict

Model lean is real, but the projected win rate is too low.

Starting Pitchers

Boston Red Sox

Payton Tolle LeftHP 3-2

ERA 2.28 · WHIP 0.97 · K/9 9.7

Rating: 74

Tampa Bay Rays

Nick Martinez RightHP 5-2

ERA 2.29 · WHIP 1.19 · K/9 5.4

Rating: 59

Pitcher info refreshed 3 hours, 18 minutes ago

Probability Comparison (Home Win)

Market	50%	—
House Model (v1)	47%	-3.5%

Odds Snapshot

FanDuel — 3 hours, 18 minutes ago

ML Home: -102 | ML Away: -116