New York Mets (35-49) @ Toronto Blue Jays (39-45)
Mon Jun 29, 6:07 PM CDT Data: High 🟢 Verified Odds · FanDuel · 36 minutes ago
Line moved
⚠️ Model Lean Not Recommended Low Probability House Model
🎯 Model Lean: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline (-126)
Confidence: 59% · Edge vs market: 5.2%
⏰ GAME START
6:07 PM CDT
Starts in 16h 28m
Why Brother Willie Passed on This Play
  • ✗ Confidence below the 60% threshold (59%)
Brother Willie Verdict
Model lean is real, but the projected win rate is too low.

Starting Pitchers

New York Mets
Sean Manaea LeftHP 1-2
ERA 4.87 · WHIP 1.41 · K/9 9.4
Rating: 40
Toronto Blue Jays
Trey Yesavage RightHP 3-3
ERA 3.56 · WHIP 1.17 · K/9 8.6
Rating: 56
Pitcher info refreshed 36 minutes ago

Probability Comparison (Home Win)

Market 56% —
House Model (v1) 59% 3.2%

Market Movement

↗ Market Moving · movement score 26/100
Sharp money is moving toward the recommended pick (Toronto Blue Jays). The market agrees with the model's read; displayed confidence is nudged by +1pp.

Odds Snapshot

FanDuel — 36 minutes ago
ML Home: -126 | ML Away: 108

Log in to see your model's analysis and track this game.

Log In