Boston Red Sox (65-56) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (59-64)
Fri Aug 14, 5:40 PM CDT Data: Med 🟢 Verified Odds · FanDuel · 2 hours, 42 minutes ago
Line moved
⚠️ Model Lean Not Recommended Low Edge House Model
🎯 Model Lean: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline (+122)
Confidence: 43% · Edge vs market: 0.0%
⏰ GAME START
5:40 PM CDT
Starts in 19h 54m
Why Brother Willie Passed on This Play
  • ✗ Edge below the 6pp recommendation threshold
Brother Willie Verdict
Edge isn't big enough to bet.

Starting Pitchers

Boston Red Sox
Jake Bennett LeftHP 7-5
ERA 3.17 · WHIP 1.04 · K/9 6.5
Rating: 58
Pittsburgh Pirates
Bubba Chandler RightHP 5-8
ERA 4.26 · WHIP 1.38 · K/9 8.0
Rating: 42
Pitcher info refreshed 2 hours, 42 minutes ago

Probability Comparison (Home Win)

Market 45% —
House Model (v1) 43% -1.7%

Market Movement

↗ Market Moving · movement score 41/100
Meaningful market movement detected on this game (Moderate). Direction is mixed or doesn't strongly favor either side relative to the recommendation.

Odds Snapshot

FanDuel — 2 hours, 42 minutes ago
ML Home: 122 | ML Away: -144

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