Seattle Mariners (57-65) @ Houston Astros (62-60)
Fri Aug 14, 7:10 PM CDT Data: Med 🟢 Verified Odds · FanDuel · 2 hours, 42 minutes ago
⚠️ Model Lean Not Recommended Low Probability House Model
🎯 Model Lean: Houston Astros Moneyline (-126)
Confidence: 59% · Edge vs market: 5.4%
⏰ GAME START
7:10 PM CDT
Starts in 21h 24m
Why Brother Willie Passed on This Play
  • ✗ Confidence below the 60% threshold (59%)
Brother Willie Verdict
Model lean is real, but the projected win rate is too low.

Starting Pitchers

Seattle Mariners
George Kirby RightHP 8-9
ERA 3.68 · WHIP 1.27 · K/9 7.6
Rating: 50
Houston Astros
Peter Lambert RightHP 8-6
ERA 3.09 · WHIP 1.15 · K/9 8.8
Rating: 60
Pitcher info refreshed 2 hours, 42 minutes ago

Probability Comparison (Home Win)

Market 56% —
House Model (v1) 59% 3.3%

Market Movement

↗ Market Moving · movement score 42/100
Meaningful market movement detected on this game (Moderate). Direction is mixed or doesn't strongly favor either side relative to the recommendation.

Odds Snapshot

FanDuel — 2 hours, 42 minutes ago
ML Home: -126 | ML Away: 108

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