Baltimore Orioles (20-24) @ Washington Nationals (21-22)
Fri May 15, 5:45 PM CDT Data: Med 🟢 Verified Odds · FanDuel · 5 hours, 21 minutes ago
Line moved
Model Pick Not Recommended Low Probability House Model
🎯 Model Lean: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline (-136)
Confidence: 57% · Edge vs market: 1.1%

Starting Pitchers

Baltimore Orioles
Shane Baz RightHP 1-4
ERA 5.48 · WHIP 1.56 · K/9 7.7
Rating: 29
Washington Nationals
Zack Littell RightHP 1-4
ERA 6.94 · WHIP 1.60 · K/9 4.2
Rating: 11
Pitcher info refreshed 5 hours, 22 minutes ago

Probability Comparison (Home Win)

Market 46% —
House Model (v1) 43% -2.9%

Market Movement

↗ Market Moving · movement score 53/100
Sharp money is moving toward the recommended pick (Baltimore Orioles). The market agrees with the model's read; displayed confidence is nudged by +1pp.

Odds Snapshot

FanDuel — 5 hours, 21 minutes ago
ML Home: 116 | ML Away: -136

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