Chicago Cubs (27-16) @ Chicago White Sox (21-21)
Fri May 15, 6:40 PM CDT Data: Med 🟢 Verified Odds · FanDuel · 5 hours, 22 minutes ago
Line moved
🔥 High Confidence Not Recommended Low Probability House Model
🎯 Model Lean: Chicago White Sox Moneyline (+116)
Confidence: 53% · Edge vs market: 8.0%
Why This Is a Top Play
  • +8.0pp model edge over fair-value market
  • Market mispricing detected (≥8pp edge — elite threshold)
  • Top-of-slate pick (capped at 2 elites per cycle)

Starting Pitchers

Chicago Cubs
Edward Cabrera RightHP 3-1
ERA 3.88 · WHIP 1.32 · K/9 8.4
Rating: 48
Chicago White Sox
Sean Burke RightHP 2-3
ERA 3.68 · WHIP 1.09 · K/9 7.4
Rating: 55
Pitcher info refreshed 5 hours, 22 minutes ago

Probability Comparison (Home Win)

Market 46% —
House Model (v1) 53% 6.2%

Market Movement

↗ Market Moving · movement score 53/100
Meaningful market movement detected on this game (Moderate). Direction is mixed or doesn't strongly favor either side relative to the recommendation.

Odds Snapshot

FanDuel — 5 hours, 22 minutes ago
ML Home: 116 | ML Away: -136

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