Arizona Diamondbacks (20-22) @ Colorado Rockies (17-26)
Fri May 15, 7:40 PM CDT Data: Med 🟢 Verified Odds · FanDuel · 5 hours, 20 minutes ago
🔥 High Confidence Not Recommended Low Probability House Model
🎯 Model Lean: Colorado Rockies Moneyline (+106)
Confidence: 56% · Edge vs market: 8.7%
Why This Is a Top Play
  • +8.7pp model edge over fair-value market
  • Market mispricing detected (≥8pp edge — elite threshold)
  • Top-of-slate pick (capped at 2 elites per cycle)

Starting Pitchers

Arizona Diamondbacks
Merrill Kelly RightHP 2-3
ERA 7.62 · WHIP 1.92 · K/9 6.9
Rating: 15
Colorado Rockies
Kyle Freeland LeftHP 1-4
ERA 6.00 · WHIP 1.47 · K/9 8.4
Rating: 27
Pitcher info refreshed 5 hours, 21 minutes ago

Probability Comparison (Home Win)

Market 49% —
House Model (v1) 55% 6.9%

Odds Snapshot

FanDuel — 5 hours, 20 minutes ago
ML Home: 106 | ML Away: -124

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